Monday, May 01, 2006

Zarqawi is Defeated in Iraq

From yesterdays London Times:

THE leader of Al-Qaeda in Iraq, Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, is attempting to set up his own mini-army and move away from individual suicide attacks to a more organised resistance movement, according to US intelligence sources.

Faced with a shortage of foreign fighters willing to undertake suicide missions, Zarqawi wants to turn his group into a more traditional force mounting co-ordinated guerrilla raids on coalition targets.

Al-Qaeda is sending training and planning experts to help to set up the force and infiltrate members into Iraq with the assistance of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards, the sources said.

If this is true, Zarqawi may be changing for a couple of different reasons, running out of fighters and pissing off the Iraqis' he was supposedly defending.

The "shortage of foreign fighters willing to undertake suicide missions" is a huge admission that the worldwide Jihad started by Osama is not as popular or supported as Osama believed. I guess they have run out of dedicated nuts. We have killed more than were created. The 'flypaper' strategy has worked. The truely dedicated went to Iraq when we opened a front against Al Qaeda there. I said all along that I would rather fight the crazies in Iraq with our Army than in the streets of NY with the police.

The other factor is that Iraqis' have been turned off by the suicide bombers becasue the Iraqis' are the ones getting killed. There have been reports for months now that Iraqi insurgents have been attacking Zarqawi and the foreigners.

If Zawqawi wants to attempt to set up an army and go toe to toe with the US army, they are making our job much easier. An ragtag army cannot hope to stand up to our army, the fight will be over before it begins. Zarqawi does us a favor by coming out into the open where our superior fire power can kill them quickly. I think this is a sign of desperation by Zarqawi.

On a deeper level, this is humiliating defeat for Al Qaeda. They have been promising to drive the Americans out of Iraq for three years now. Instead they have become more unpopular and have suffered devestating casulties. Whether there was a link between Al Qaeda and Iraq before the invasion, there clearly was one after and we have won.

Now this doesn't mean Iraq will become peaceful overnight. The sectarian violence between the groups is still simmering in a low grade prelude to a potential civil war. Now that a government is finally formed we will see if the insurgency is reduced and tensions relax or if it explodes. We don't know which way it will go. Iraq has made a lot of progress in 3 years, but there is a long way to go.


Post a Comment

<< Home